Optimize Risk Prediction After Myocardial Infarction: The ORACLE Study

Official title

Optimize Risk Prediction After Myocardial Infarction Through Artificial Intelligence and Multidimensional Evaluation: The ORACLE Study

Overview

Background. Myocardial infarction (MI) is a leading cause of death worldwide. After MI, longterm antithrombotic therapy is crucial to prevent recurrent events, but increases bleeding, that also impacts morbidity and mortality. Giving these competing risks prediction tools to forecast ischemic and bleeding are of paramount importance to inform clinical decisions, but their current precision is limited. Improve events prediction, by discovering novel and innovative markers of risk would have a tremendous impact on therapeutic decisions and patients' outcome. Objectives. Discover novel "computational biomarkers" of risk and improve current standards of risk prediction by using innovative multidimensional information from wearable devices, biomarkers, behavioural patterns and non-invasive imaging, integrated through artificial intelligence computation. Outcomes. The primary outcomes of interest for this analysis are bleeding and ischemic events occurring in or outside the hospital at longest available follow-up. Bleeding will be categorised according to the Bleeding Academic Research Consortium (BARC) definition. The occurrence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), a composite of cardiovascular death, MI, definite stent thrombosis and stroke will be collected according to the Academic Research Consortium-2 classification.

Interventions

• Other data collection
  The ORACLE program is a prospective, deep phenotyping, study based on multimodal information and artificial intelligence computation. We will prospectively collect in-hospital and out-of-hospital data of a large cohort of patients presenting with MI, including data from wearable devices recording continuous ECG, interstitial-fluids, non-invasive blood pressure and mobility, behavioural patterns from a dedicated mobile application, blood and urine biomarkers and non-invasive imaging. We will leve

Primary outcome measures

• Frequency and severity of bleeding and ischemic events [Time frame: 8 months inclusion and 12 months follow-up after end of study]

Secondary outcome measures (1)

• Number of death, stroke, recurrent MI, stent thrombosis, heart failure, hospitalization [Time frame: 8 months inclusion and 12 months follow-up after end of study]

Eligibility criteria

Inclusion criteria

• Patients with Myocardial Infarction (i.e. hospitalization for ST- segment elevated, non-ST-segment elevated myocardial infarction or unstable angina) undergoing invasive management and at high risk of clinical events (i.e. presence of at least two of these high risk criteria: age >65 years, diabetes mellitus, multivessel disease, peripheral artery disease, chronic kidney disease, prior stroke anytime or prior TIA in the last 6 months, prior MI, complex PCI, Prior PCI/CABG, heart failure, BMI>27, anticipated long term use of an oral anticoagulant, haemoglobin less than 11g/dl, spontaneous bleeding requiring hospitalization or transfusion in the past 12 months, bleeding diathesis\* active malignancy other than skin, previous spontaneous intracranial hemorrhage).

• Systemic conditions associated with an increased bleeding risk (e.g. haematological disorders, including a history of or current thrombocytopaenia defined as a platelet count <100,000/mm3 (<100 x 10\^9/L), or any known coagulation disorder associated with increased bleeding risk.

Exclusion criteria

• Age < 18 years
• Low life expectancy (<1 year)
• Pregnant or breastfeeding women
• Evidence at coronary angiography of non-significant coronary artery disease (<30% in the left main stem or <50% in the other coronary segments)
• Subject belongs to a vulnerable population (per investigator's judgment), subject unable to read or write, or other conditions that unable the patient to fully comprehend and comply to the study procedures as per investigator's judgement

Criteria are shown verbatim from the registry (in English). Final eligibility is always assessed by the study center.

Healthy volunteers: No

Study design

Observational model

Cohort

Study locations

Spain · 1 center

• Hospital Universitario Virgen de la Victoria — Málaga

Publications

• Writing Group Members; Mozaffarian D, Benjamin EJ, Go AS, Arnett DK, Blaha MJ, Cushman M, Das SR, de Ferranti S, Despres JP, Fullerton HJ, Howard VJ, Huffman MD, Isasi CR, Jimenez MC, Judd SE, Kissela BM, Lichtman JH, Lisabeth LD, Liu S, Mackey RH, Magid DJ, McGuire DK, Mohler ER 3rd, Moy CS, Muntner P, Mussolino ME, Nasir K, Neumar RW, Nichol G, Palaniappan L, Pandey DK, Reeves MJ, Rodriguez CJ, PMID 26673558
• Valgimigli M, Bueno H, Byrne RA, Collet JP, Costa F, Jeppsson A, Juni P, Kastrati A, Kolh P, Mauri L, Montalescot G, Neumann FJ, Petricevic M, Roffi M, Steg PG, Windecker S, Zamorano JL, Levine GN; ESC Scientific Document Group; ESC Committee for Practice Guidelines (CPG); ESC National Cardiac Societies. 2017 ESC focused update on dual antiplatelet therapy in coronary artery disease developed in c PMID 28886622
• Simonsson M, Wallentin L, Alfredsson J, Erlinge D, Hellstrom Angerud K, Hofmann R, Kellerth T, Lindhagen L, Ravn-Fischer A, Szummer K, Ueda P, Yndigegn T, Jernberg T. Temporal trends in bleeding events in acute myocardial infarction: insights from the SWEDEHEART registry. Eur Heart J. 2020 Feb 14;41(7):833-843. doi: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehz593. PMID 31504404
• Valgimigli M, Costa F, Lokhnygina Y, Clare RM, Wallentin L, Moliterno DJ, Armstrong PW, White HD, Held C, Aylward PE, Van de Werf F, Harrington RA, Mahaffey KW, Tricoci P. Trade-off of myocardial infarction vs. bleeding types on mortality after acute coronary syndrome: lessons from the Thrombin Receptor Antagonist for Clinical Event Reduction in Acute Coronary Syndrome (TRACER) randomized trial. E PMID 28363222
• Levine GN, Bates ER, Bittl JA, Brindis RG, Fihn SD, Fleisher LA, Granger CB, Lange RA, Mack MJ, Mauri L, Mehran R, Mukherjee D, Newby LK, O'Gara PT, Sabatine MS, Smith PK, Smith SC Jr. 2016 ACC/AHA Guideline Focused Update on Duration of Dual Antiplatelet Therapy in Patients With Coronary Artery Disease: A Report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Task Force on Clinic PMID 27036918
• Fox KA, Dabbous OH, Goldberg RJ, Pieper KS, Eagle KA, Van de Werf F, Avezum A, Goodman SG, Flather MD, Anderson FA Jr, Granger CB. Prediction of risk of death and myocardial infarction in the six months after presentation with acute coronary syndrome: prospective multinational observational study (GRACE). BMJ. 2006 Nov 25;333(7578):1091. doi: 10.1136/bmj.38985.646481.55. Epub 2006 Oct 10. PMID 17032691
• Subherwal S, Bach RG, Chen AY, Gage BF, Rao SV, Newby LK, Wang TY, Gibler WB, Ohman EM, Roe MT, Pollack CV Jr, Peterson ED, Alexander KP. Baseline risk of major bleeding in non-ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction: the CRUSADE (Can Rapid risk stratification of Unstable angina patients Suppress ADverse outcomes with Early implementation of the ACC/AHA Guidelines) Bleeding Score. Circulation. PMID 19332461
• Baber U, Mehran R, Giustino G, Cohen DJ, Henry TD, Sartori S, Ariti C, Litherland C, Dangas G, Gibson CM, Krucoff MW, Moliterno DJ, Kirtane AJ, Stone GW, Colombo A, Chieffo A, Kini AS, Witzenbichler B, Weisz G, Steg PG, Pocock S. Coronary Thrombosis and Major Bleeding After PCI With Drug-Eluting Stents: Risk Scores From PARIS. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2016 May 17;67(19):2224-2234. doi: 10.1016/j.jacc.20 PMID 27079334

Identifiers

NCT: NCT06993415 · ORACLE · ERC-2023-STG-101117469

Primary sources (government registries)

• ClinicalTrials.gov (US NIH)

View this study on ClinicalTrials.gov ↗